According to our computer model, the Los Angeles Chargers will beat the Las Vegas Raiders when they meet at SoFi Stadium on Sunday, October 1 (at 4:05 PM ET). We have a complete breakdown, regarding the point spread, total and final score, available below.

The Chargers have struggled on defense, ranking fifth-worst in the NFL (29 points allowed per game) this season. However, they rank fifth-best on the other side of the ball, totaling 28.7 points per game. With 287.7 total yards per game on offense, the Raiders rank 23rd in the NFL in 2023. Defensively, they rank 17th, allowing 347.7 total yards per game.

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Chargers vs. Raiders Predictions and Picks

ATS Over/Under Score Prediction
Toss Up (Spread: Chargers by 6.5) Toss Up (48.5) Chargers 27, Raiders 22

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Chargers Betting Info

  • Based on this matchup's moneyline, the Chargers' implied win probability is 75.0%.
  • Los Angeles has a record of 1-2-0 against the spread this season.
  • Los Angeles games have gone over the point total twice this season.
  • The point total average for Chargers games this season is 49.8, 1.3 points higher than the over/under for this matchup.

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Raiders Betting Info

  • The Raiders have a 29.4% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • Las Vegas has covered once in three games with a spread this season.
  • The Raiders have been an underdog by 6.5 points or more this season once, and failed to cover the spread.
  • Games featuring Las Vegas have gone over the point total once this year.
  • Raiders games average 44.3 total points, 4.2 fewer than the total for this matchup.

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Chargers vs. Raiders 2023 Scoring Insights

Pts Pts Allowed Home Pts Home Pts Allowed Away Pts Away Pts Allowed
Los Angeles 28.7 29 34 36 26 25.5
Las Vegas 15 25.7 18 23 13.5 27

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