HONOLULU, Hawaii (HawaiiNewsNow) - El Niño in the Pacific is ending, which could mean less tropical activity in the Central Pacific.
The Central Pacific Hurricane Center stressed Friday that it’s not changing its forecast of an above average hurricane season.
National Weather Service Meteorologist Tom Birchard also noted that there’s not a one-to-one correlation between El Niño and the number of tropical cyclones in our basin.
El Niño is a phenomenon in which sea surface temperatures become warmer than normal in the Pacific, usually giving way to increased hurricane activity.
The end of El Niño might mean bad news for the Atlantic.
According to NOAA, “conditions are now more favorable for above-normal hurricane activity” for the Atlantic.
In general, in El Niño years, wind shear is increased in the Atlantic, which usually helps prevent tropical cyclone development.
The number of predicted storms in the Atlantic is 10 to 17 named storms.
Hurricane season in the Pacific, meanwhile, lasts until Nov. 30 — and August is typically the busiest month. Forecasters also stress that it only takes one hurricane to cause mass destruction and damage.
So far, the Central Pacific has seen two systems this season: Tropical cyclones Erick and Flossie.