Relatively stable trade wind weather will remain over the islands for much of the work week, with modest showers for windward areas and dry conditions leeward. Enjoy those trade winds while you can, however. The trades are expected to slow down by Friday and then be disrupted into the weekend as as cold front approaches from the northwest. An upper level trough is expected to bring the chance of afternoon clouds and showers, some of which could be locally heavy, Sunday and Monday. While it’s too soon to go into specific detail, drier and more stable weather is expected to return next Tuesday.
The current moderate trades will keep a small craft advisory posted for the usual windier waters around Maui County and the Big Island through Wednesday afternoon. There’s a small swell that will bump up the surf for north and west shores Wednesday, with a larger swell expected Sunday night. There will also be a series of small swells for south-facing shores, while east shores will hold steady in the 3 to 5-foot range until Thursday, and then lower as the trades weaken.