The weekend is here! Generally light winds are expected across much of the area for the next couple days. Fairly dry conditions will also remain over the western half of the state. A surface trough lingering near the Big Island will enhance clouds and showers over Maui and the Big Island into the weekend. High pressure systems moving in from the northwest may strengthen the winds early next week.
After a long stretch of large surf and northerly winds for our north facing shores through the first half of February, surf will near a minimum for the month through the weekend. Storms over the far northwest Pacific have been quickly lifting north-northeast from Japan to the Bering Sea, ultimately limiting our traditional setup for northwest swell sources.
A large long-period northwest (320 deg) swell is due Tuesday through midweek. If this materializes, surf could near warning levels for exposed north and west facing shores Wednesday through Thursday. Additionally, strong northerly winds accompanying a cold front moving down the island chain will result in rough conditions with small craft advisory winds and seas.