Moderate to locally breezy trade winds are blowing across most of the island chain, while more stable atmospheric conditions are limiting rainfall. The only possible exceptions include Kauai, which is closest to an upper level disturbance that's west of the state, and therefore has a higher probability for rainfall. We also have lighter winds as usual for much of the Big Island, where volcanic emissions should be pushed more southwest toward the Kau District. However, vog and haze will still make their way up the Kona side.
Trade winds should remain over the state for at least the first half of the week. Forecast models are pointing to lighter, more easterly winds around Thursday that could bring vog to waters south of the smaller islands and to more of the Big Island. There's still enough uncertainty that we'll wait a few more days and fine-tune the forecast.