Forecast: It's a transition day to drier and more stable weather

Forecast: It's a transition day to drier and more stable weather

Good Monday morning.

After a night of heavy rain over Kauai and Oahu, there are some lingering showers on the radar. The heaviest of the rain is sitting over the ocean for now, so we will keep a close eye on the radar.

Today will be a transition day to a drier and more stable air mass. Some heavier showers will remain possible over the western end of the state, especially in the morning.

After this episode of unsettled weather (with 5 to 7 inches of rain on Kauai and Oahu within the last 24-hours), the weather models remain in good agreement that the upcoming pattern will transition to a drier and stable air mass bringing us pleasant conditions.

Showers will gradually decrease across the state today and tonight and expect trade winds to increase throughout the week, with quite gusty conditions expected over downwind neighborhoods. Passing mostly light showers will become focused over windward and mauka areas beginning on Tuesday.

Then expect a strong trade wind pattern to prevail through late in the week, with passing showers focused over windward and mauka areas throughout the week.

The strength of the trades will allow some showers to spill over leeward. Only subtle changes appear to be in store for the weekend, with the flow backing slightly to a more typical trade wind direction and speeds.

Let's talk surf: A large, short-period east swell combined with strengthening east winds over the windward coastal waters will maintain elevated rough surf along east facing shores this week.

Surf may approach the High Surf Warning criteria along east facing shores starting Tuesday night, and continue through mid-week.

Small northwest swells and small long-period south swells will maintain small background surf along north, west, and south facing shores into next weekend.

Today's highs across the islands will range from the upper 70s to the low 80s.  Winds will pick up in the afternoon: 10-25 mph.

Have a great week!

- Jennifer Robbins

This story may be updated.

Copyright 2018 Hawaii News Now. All rights reserved.