China Freight Transport Report Q3 2014 - Hawaii News Now - KGMB and KHNL

China Freight Transport Report Q3 2014

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SOURCE ReportBuyer

LONDON, June 12, 2014 /PRNewswire/ -- Reportbuyer.com has added a new market research report: China Freight Transport Report Q3 2014

http://www.reportbuyer.com/transport_travel/freight/china_freight_transport_report_q3_2013_1.html

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View:
BMI maintains its cautious outlook for China's freight transport volumes for Q3 2014. We
continue to believe that the hangover effects of China's economic stimulus are yet to be felt, and cooling credit growth is likely to reveal these effects over the coming quarters. Newfound reform momentum has the potential to help the economy grow out from under its credit excesses, however, several obstacles stand in the way of this, including the likelihood that reform efforts could exacerbate any economic downturn. We are forecasting real GDP growth to come in at 7.1% in 2014, before slowing further to average 6.1% growth over the next five years.

The outlook for China's traditional economic growth drivers, such as heavy industry and real estate
construction, remains cloudy, and this will put downside pressure on freight volumes. The outlook facing the more consumer-focussed industries is relatively strong over the medium term and this should boost air freight volumes in particular, as demand for small electronic goods continues. Overall, though, as the traditional sectors remain the dominant drivers of the economy, we remain below consensus in our real GDP growth outlook.

BMI Industry View . 7
SWOT .. 9
Freight Transport .... 9
Political 11
Economic ... 12
Business Environment . 13
Industry Forecast 14
Road Freight .. 15
Table: Road Freight (China 2011-2018) 18
Inland Waterway Freight . 18
Table: Inland Waterway Freight (China 2011-2018) . . 20
Rail Freight ... 20
Table: Rail Freight (China 2011-2018) . 23
Air Freight 23
Table: Air Freight (China 2011-2018) . . 26
Table: Maritime Freight (China 2011-2018) . . 27
Trade .. 29
Table: Trade Overview (China 2011-2018) 29
Table: Key Trade Indicators (China 2011-2018) . 29
Table: Top Import Partners, 2005-2012 (USDmn) . . 30
Table: Top Export Destinations, 2005-2012 (USDmn) . 31
Market Overview . 32
Industry Trends And Developments 36
Company Profile .. 44
Jade Cargo International .. 44
China Railway Container Transport Corporation 46
China Southern (Cargo) .... 48
CR Intermodal . 52
Daqin Railway Company .. 54
Sinotrans ... 56
China Shipping Container Line (CSCL) ... 60
COSCO - Dry Bulk 67
Political Outlook .. 74
Foreign Policy . 74
Long-term Political Outlook ... 78
Table: Table: Political Overview . . 84
Oil Price Outlook . 85
Diesel ... 85
Table: BMI Crude Oil And Diesel Price Forecast (USD/bbl) 85
New York's One-Off Heat Up . 85
NY: Short-Term Diesel Price Support Expected . 88
Rotterdam: Green Policies Drive Diesel Forward ... 92
Singapore: Diesel Support With Power Risks 94
Risks To Outlook .. 98
Jet Fuel 99
Table: BMI Crude Oil & Jet Fuel Price Forecast, USD/bbl . 99
Better Outlook Tames Price Fall . 99
Table: Total Air Freight And Passenger Volume Growth 101
Risks To Outlook 104
Bunker Fuel ... 105
Table: BMI Crude Oil & Bunker Fuel Price Forecast (USD/bbl) . 105
The Storm Clears For Shipping . 106
(Slightly) Better Times For Bunker Prices .. 108
Long-Term Threats Linger .. 109
Pressing Rotterdam & New York Harder ... 111
Risks To Outlook 111
Macroeconomic Forecasts ... 113
Economic Analysis .... 113
Table: China - Economic Activity 117
Demographic Forecast .... 118
Table: China's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000) . . 119
Table: China's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total) . . 120
Table: China's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020 . 121
Table: China's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020 121
Methodology . 122
Industry Forecast Methodology 122
Sector-Specific Methodology .... 123
Sources .. 124

Read the full report:
China Freight Transport Report Q3 2014

http://www.reportbuyer.com/transport_travel/freight/china_freight_transport_report_q3_2013_1.html

For more information:
Sarah Smith
Research Advisor at Reportbuyer.com
Email: query@reportbuyer.com
Tel: +44 208 816 85 48
Website: www.reportbuyer.com

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