NCAA tourney: Florida or bust - Hawaii News Now - KGMB and KHNL

NCAA tourney: Florida or bust

If Florida doesn't win the national championship, this was all for naught. (Source: RNN) If Florida doesn't win the national championship, this was all for naught. (Source: RNN)
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(RNN) – Well, this will be short because there's nothing left to talk about.

The only hope that remains for the brackets is Florida winning the national championship. Outside of that, there's nothing left from any of this year's methods. Three of them are dead already.

The ESPN.com leaderboard always astonishes me. The number of people who correctly picked all four Final Four teams makes me sick.

You know what else makes me sick? The embarrassments below.

The brackets can be viewed here, an explanation of the methodology can be found here and last week's progress is here.

The Brackets:

Chalk

Well, picking favorites turned out to be the right way to go … again. I can't stress enough just how much this enrages me. The whole reason people fill out brackets is because the upsets make it unpredictable. Yet, here we are with a straight party line ticket coming out on top.

This year was such a disaster that it doesn't even matter what happens from this point forward. This will be the best bracket because even though it only has Florida left, that's all that's left in any bracket.

This method got four Elite Eight teams correct, which is better than any other bracket. That's so depressing.

No. of Final Four teams correct: 1

Still alive: National champion Florida.

My Actual Picks

I only got two Elite Eight teams correct, so there wasn't much hope moving forward.

It's a good thing I believed in Florida or this bracket would be as dead as Jacob Marley.

No. of Final Four teams correct: 1

Still alive: National champion Florida.

Uniform Color

Oof. What started out looking like a good plan became a disaster. Three brackets are better than this one, and three are worse, so … yay?

This bracket was able to put Kentucky in the Final Four, but it missed everything else. The sad thing is three of the teams in the Final Four wear blue, so it still looks like a good plan. The error was in the execution.

No. of Final Four teams correct: 1

Still alive: No one.

Scoring Margin

After picking 29 of the 32 first round games correctly, this bracket developed into such a wasteland that it only got one Elite Eight team correct. After that, it picked nothing.

I am hopelessly perplexed by this outcome. How is it possible for it to be so good so early, when the big upsets generally happen, and so bad in the later rounds? Part of the problem was it put two No. 12 seeds in the Final Four and a No. 14 seed in the Elite Eight.

I think for next year, this will be a good method to use in a hybrid bracket with scoring margin used in the first round and something else in the later rounds. Getting this right is all about trial and error, and I may have hit on the first piece of the puzzle.

No. of Final Four teams correct: 0

Still alive: No one.

Coaching Experience

I'm not sure what to say here. National championship coaches do have an impact it seems because Florida's Billy Donovan and Kentucky's John Calipari have each won national championships, and Wisconsin's Bo Ryan won one in Division II.

It got three Elite Eight teams right, which seems like a huge victory compared to the other methods, but it all died out after that.

This bracket will be the worst one if Florida beats Connecticut.

No. of Final Four teams correct: 0

Still alive: No one.

Highest RPI

This came very close to equaling the Chalk bracket, only because highest RPI generally corresponds to higher seed.

But as is the case with that bracket, only Florida remains to make it better. This was the second best of the brackets. It got three Elite Eight teams correct and was banking on Arizona beating Wisconsin to make the Final Four.

Had that happened, this bracket would have been the top performer.

No. of Final Four teams correct: 1

Still alive: National champion Florida.

Childsourcing

One win by Florida will get this bracket out of the basement. Florida was also the only Elite Eight team this bracket got right.

We learned that 5-year-olds, despite having not yet been corrupted by the world, are still no match for the all-powerful NCAA.

No. of Final Four teams correct: 1

Still alive: Florida in the national championship game.

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